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Bleak-Lava

0x006cc834cc092684f1b56626e23bedb3835c16eaEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #26 · all-time profitPrimarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
4 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: no
Last trade 85 days ago · 11 trades in the last 90 days. A record this stale is history, not a live edge.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$13
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +4.4%, realistic +2.6%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Bleak-Lava worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 11 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +2.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 4 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,742 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
99
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
51
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
54
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+4.4%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+2.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.8 pts
Forensic check

4 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 560 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
99
Avg hold
4.7 days
Active span
Nov 19 – Jul 18, 2026
Trades per month
23
Nov
18
Dec
316
Jan
5
Feb
58
Mar
10
Apr
44
May
10
Jun
76
Jul
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: France (-1.5)28 fills
  2. Jazz vs. Cavaliers17 fills
  3. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?15 fills
  4. Celtics vs. Pacers14 fills
  5. Suns vs. 76ers14 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+5.0%
421 trades
Politics
+0.2%
77 trades
Economy
0.0%
31 trades
Culture
+1.0%
14 trades
Science
+1.3%
7 trades
World
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.