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aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1

0x0509d64aac136cbc253b7e208e4bacfe6c786e98Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 58 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$125
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -20.6%, realistic -25.0%.
47/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 47/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 58 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -25.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,966 graded wallets, as of October 3, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 3, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 14 – Oct 3, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 51 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
22
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
54
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
62
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-20.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-25.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−4.4 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

0–1 on game moneylines

1 settled call on NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — under 5, too few to read as a record. Calls are pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
0.7 of 1
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Vikings vs. Bears
NFL · Sep 20 · Bears at 66¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 630 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
11
Avg hold
39 hours
Active span
Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2026
Trades per month
4
Nov
12
Dec
46
Jan
47
Feb
1
Mar
0
Apr
5
May
1
Jun
0
Jul
1
Aug
55
Sep
2
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?41 fills
  2. US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?40 fills
  3. Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?26 fills
  4. Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?19 fills
  5. Will Eric Adams drop out?19 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
-6.2%
227 trades
Economy
0.0%
157 trades
Politics
0.0%
104 trades
Sports
0.0%
83 trades
Tech
0.0%
32 trades
Crypto
0.0%
23 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.