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Disastrous-Deficit

0x0828e2ab9f76708970ad6fa20f457f8cc6d0a1a6Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
9 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 791 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$139
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -15.9%, realistic -27.8%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
9 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Disastrous-Deficit worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 791 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -27.8% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 9 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 21 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 12 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
97
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
21
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
38
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
67
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-15.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-27.8%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−11.9 pts
Forensic check

9 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
9 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
145
Avg hold
1.6 hours
Active span
May 19 – Oct 2, 2026
Trades per month
68
May
118
Jun
246
Jul
156
Aug
383
Sep
29
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. National Cricket League, Women: Victoria vs South Australian Scorpions23 fills
  2. Korea Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Kimberly Birrell20 fills
  3. 49ers vs. Rams16 fills
  4. Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmen14 fills
  5. M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong14 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+13.3%
970 trades
Crypto
0.0%
30 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.