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Muffled-Reserve

0x0a2f1a0aff06a7adb59e946e324f8e01dcfb325aEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
42/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Muffled-Reserve worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 42/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 141 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -20.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,485 graded wallets, as of August 28, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 28, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 24 – Aug 28, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 5 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
42
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
4
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
62
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
53
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-16.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-20.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−4.0 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 141 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
66
Avg hold
3.1 days
Active span
Jun 4 – Aug 28, 2026
Trades per month
47
Jun
22
Jul
72
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?16 fills
  2. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?11 fills
  3. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8 fills
  4. Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?8 fills
  5. Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?8 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-4.9%
49 trades
Crypto
-20.0%
38 trades
Sports
+4.7%
29 trades
World
-2.7%
10 trades
Culture
-11.8%
8 trades
Economy
+0.1%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.