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SplendidAmadeus

0x0dd60a6ddeea6f93659789cac7af6a9d12835f62Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 718 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$88
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -11.5%, realistic -17.6%.
45/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is SplendidAmadeus worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 45/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 718 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -17.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,730 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 14 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 59 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
3
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
73
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
55
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-11.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-17.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−6.1 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

2–3 on game moneylines

5 settled calls on NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
3.9 of 5
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
NFL · Oct 9 · Cowboys at 81¢
miss
Chargers vs. Seahawks
NFL · Oct 4 · Seahawks at 75¢
hit
Patriots vs. Bills
NFL · Oct 4 · Bills at 74¢
miss
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
NFL · Sep 27 · Chiefs at 85¢
hit
Seahawks vs. Commanders
NFL · Sep 27 · Seahawks at 77¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
236
Avg hold
2.5 days
Active span
Jul 1 – Oct 10, 2026
Trades per month
419
Jul
277
Aug
254
Sep
50
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?19 fills
  2. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?17 fills
  3. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?15 fills
  4. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?13 fills
  5. Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?11 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-8.1%
774 trades
Crypto
-16.4%
89 trades
World
+0.5%
49 trades
Politics
+0.1%
47 trades
Economy
-10.7%
38 trades
Culture
-17.1%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.