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Careful-Bunch

0x122cb94c437ea5e6f088c6c0c143c592ab8efbedEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
23 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Careful-Bunch worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 10.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -28.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 23 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 12 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 16 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
65
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
26
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
63
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
65
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-16.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-28.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−12.0 pts
Forensic check

23 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
23 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 10,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
4,131
Avg hold
6.8 hours
Active span
Aug 22 – Aug 27, 2026
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?334 fills
  2. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?291 fills
  3. Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?178 fills
  4. Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?151 fills
  5. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?125 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Science
-0.8%
4859 trades
World
-0.1%
1519 trades
Culture
+2.5%
1234 trades
Tech
-0.7%
379 trades
Economy
-1.5%
135 trades
Crypto
+4.9%
53 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.