CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

frozenriver

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfeEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: flagged
18 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 18 days ago · 14 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -98.1%, realistic -100.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
High farming risk
18 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is frozenriver worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 14 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 18 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1.1% realistic post-fee edge (all 9,449 graded wallets, as of September 7, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded September 7, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 9 – Sep 7, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 30 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
88
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
21
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
71
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-98.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.9 pts
Forensic check

18 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
18 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
10
Avg hold
11.0 days
Active span
Mar 11 – Aug 19, 2026
Trades per month
960
Mar
13
Apr
13
May
0
Jun
0
Jul
14
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5PM ET62 fills
  2. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?49 fills
  3. Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5PM ET46 fills
  4. Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 19?33 fills
  5. Solana Up or Down - March 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET25 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-0.1%
963 trades
World
+1.3%
13 trades
Economy
0.0%
10 trades
Politics
+0.6%
7 trades
Tech
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
95
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
PlyQuants
Strong copy candidate
93
ziiizar01
Strong copy candidate
93
Ringed-Laparoscope
Strong copy candidate
92
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.