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kilian7kilian

0x14c7111afa871fb215339f365043d7b2837b9ccfEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #6 · 7d profitPrimarily: Sports
68/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy candidate
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is kilian7kilian worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Clean, with a real +12.9% edge, but the overall score stops short of the top band — worth a reduced allocation, not a full commitment.

This wallet scores 68/100 — copy candidate. Over the trailing 90 days it made 25 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +12.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 25 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 2 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
63
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
56
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
58
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
78
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+23.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+12.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−10.3 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 25 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
5
Avg hold
1.7 hours
Active span
Aug 25 – Aug 26, 2026
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori4 fills
  2. Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?4 fills
  3. Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt3 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET3 fills
  5. Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+41.6%
22 trades
Crypto
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.