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PMTraderAdam

0x154794795d978c5890b3f69264311f0bd966d066Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Internet
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade yesterday · 113 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$22
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -3.6%, realistic -4.4%.
60/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is PMTraderAdam worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-4.40%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 60/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 113 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -4.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,856 graded wallets, as of October 22, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 22, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 11 – Oct 22, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 42 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
53
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
15
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
89
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
70
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-3.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-4.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.8 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
113
Avg hold
6.5 days
Active span
Oct 6 – Oct 21, 2026
Trades per month
43
Nov
72
Dec
48
Jan
78
Feb
148
Mar
134
Apr
80
May
150
Jun
113
Jul
41
Aug
36
Sep
6
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?10 fills
  2. Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?10 fills
  3. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?10 fills
  4. Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?9 fills
  5. Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
+1.1%
232 trades
Economy
+0.9%
100 trades
Crypto
+1.3%
73 trades
Sports
+1.2%
65 trades
MrBeast
0.0%
4 trades
Internet
+5.6%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.