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longdated-poli

0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
40/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is longdated-poli worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 40/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 8.1k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -84.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 7 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 21 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
20
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
5
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
46
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-54.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-84.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−30.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 8,096 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
—
Active span
May 29 – Aug 27, 2026
Trades per month
105
May
3422
Jun
3039
Jul
1530
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?220 fills
  2. Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch89 fills
  3. Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?75 fills
  4. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?73 fills
  5. Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?72 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
0.0%
1472 trades
Tech
-9457.5%
271 trades
Crypto
-8960.3%
235 trades
Culture
-870.6%
130 trades
Science
-283.2%
9 trades
UK
-1021.3%
6 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.