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Home/Copy Verdict

0x1ae0…5e3c

0x1ae0cae475a789f6d402930f72a09153161a5e3cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
29/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid — farming risk
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is 0x1ae0…5e3c worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 29/100 — avoid — farming risk. Over the trailing 90 days it made 51 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -11.8% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 1 farming signal.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 13 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 15 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
18
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
1
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
82
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
35
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-6.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-11.8%
The gap — what latency and fees erase4.9 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 51 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
23
Avg hold
under an hour
Active span
Aug 13 – Aug 25, 2026
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?31 fills
  2. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?8 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?2 fills
  4. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?2 fills
  5. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?2 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Culture
-5.7%
31 trades
Economy
-4.5%
8 trades
World
-0.7%
5 trades
Crypto
-9.4%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.