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Pwaddler

0x1d1ade627d0bb0205758580b20d808573e720df6Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 369 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$305
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -39.3%, realistic -60.9%.
37/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Pwaddler worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 37/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 369 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -60.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,998 graded wallets, as of October 13, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 13, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 16 – Oct 13, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 9 daysNegative · 81 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
27
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
19
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
35
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-39.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-60.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−21.6 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

5–5 on game moneylines

10 settled calls on MLB, NFL and CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
5.3 of 10
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB · Oct 13 · Tampa Bay Rays at 61¢
miss
Lions vs. Cardinals
NFL · Oct 11 · Cardinals at 31¢
miss
Browns vs. Jets
NFL · Oct 11 · Browns at 44¢
miss
Iowa vs. Washington
CFB · Oct 10 · Iowa at 42¢
hit
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
MLB · Oct 7 · Chicago White Sox at 52¢
miss
Falcons vs. Saints
NFL · Oct 6 · Saints at 52¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 998 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
1
Avg hold
1.4 hours
Active span
Jan 24 – Oct 13, 2026
Trades per month
20
Jan
47
Feb
71
Mar
233
Apr
125
May
97
Jun
76
Jul
95
Aug
97
Sep
137
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)15 fills
  2. Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)12 fills
  3. Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)12 fills
  4. Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)11 fills
  5. Houston Astros vs. Athletics10 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
996 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.