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Bulky-Castle-Junk

0x1ead45176d07476ccb5ecb968fde2d666e1945f1Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Bulky-Castle-Junk worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-7.70%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 167 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -7.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,505 graded wallets, as of August 29, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 28, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 9 – Aug 28, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 5 daysCaution · 1 dayPositive · 9 daysCaution · 36 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
91
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
24
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
46
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
74
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-6.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-7.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.7 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 171 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
48
Avg hold
27 hours
Active span
May 30 – Aug 27, 2026
Trades per month
4
May
26
Jun
139
Jul
2
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?5 fills
  2. Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET4 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET4 fills
  5. Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance4 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+18.5%
89 trades
Crypto
+11.6%
80 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.