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Home/Copy Verdict

6878fa50835483

0x2163fe117ce669dae4aee7150c436a8d547ab139Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
51/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is 6878fa50835483 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-31.90%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 51/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 242 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -31.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 4 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 1 dayCaution · 23 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
57
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
10
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
44
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
65
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-24.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-31.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−7.2 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 242 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
65
Avg hold
2.9 days
Active span
Jul 23 – Aug 12, 2026
Trades per month
161
Jul
81
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez6 fills
  2. US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31?6 fills
  3. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?4 fills
  4. US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?4 fills
  5. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.9%
105 trades
World
+3.4%
72 trades
Politics
+4.8%
44 trades
Economy
-4.5%
16 trades
Culture
-12.1%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.