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Neat-Brushfire

0x2ce8505aa641791eb8460f6ac6bf5c0511e34527Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
Farming risk: flagged
6 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade yesterday · 74 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -93.4%, realistic -100.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
6 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Neat-Brushfire worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 74 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 6 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 4 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 29 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
99
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
24
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
88
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-93.4%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−6.6 pts
Forensic check

6 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
6 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
15
Avg hold
2.0 days
Active span
Jul 25 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
6
Nov
5
Dec
0
Jan
166
Feb
12
Mar
26
Apr
31
May
31
Jun
31
Jul
19
Aug
26
Sep
1
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?32 fills
  2. Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?29 fills
  3. Blue Jays vs. Reds24 fills
  4. Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?20 fills
  5. Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?19 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
793 trades
Politics
+1.8%
110 trades
Culture
0.0%
49 trades
World
0.0%
43 trades
Economy
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.