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Home/Copy Verdict

PastTheBet

0x2eeaf2013ffb52a3a3d62cf11ed5abb6ae791a4cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
27 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is PastTheBet worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 3.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +2.2% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 27 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1.1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,389 graded wallets, as of August 27, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 27, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 23 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 5 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
99
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
85
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
67
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+8.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+2.2%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−6.6 pts
Forensic check

27 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
27 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 2,965 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
726
Avg hold
under an hour
Active span
Jul 2 – Aug 25, 2026
Trades per month
141
Jul
2824
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner70 fills
  2. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana57 fills
  3. Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner55 fills
  4. Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner54 fills
  5. Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner46 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+9.0%
2965 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.