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Home/Copy Verdict

treesanddreams

0x334b261e6ab81287841c1e8c9326a149b8bfd971Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
54/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is treesanddreams worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-34.90%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 54/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 29 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -34.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 8 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 1 dayNegative · 39 daysCaution · 34 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
69
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
12
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
39
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
67
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-28.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-34.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase6.3 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 213 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
12
Avg hold
24 hours
Active span
May 7 – Jun 7, 2026
Trades per month
184
May
29
Jun
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?85 fills
  2. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?51 fills
  3. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?30 fills
  4. Spread: Knicks (-10.5)7 fills
  5. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
0.0%
144 trades
Economy
0.0%
35 trades
Sports
+0.4%
22 trades
Politics
-0.1%
11 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.