CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

rollobravado

0x3b62c64ebaee15478e8b21765b9f940458655cc8Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
2 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 848 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$264
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -30.1%, realistic -52.7%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is rollobravado worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 848 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -52.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 2 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,860 graded wallets, as of October 12, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 12, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 24 – Oct 12, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 29 daysCaution · 3 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 3 daysNegative · 14 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
98
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
20
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
35
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
80
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-30.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-52.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−22.6 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

3–5 on game moneylines

8 settled calls on NFL, MLB and CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
4.1 of 8
Current streak
1 hit

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

49ers vs. Seahawks
NFL · Oct 11 · 49ers at 42¢
hit
Bears vs. Packers
NFL · Oct 11 · Bears at 52¢
miss
Texas A&M vs. Missouri
CFB · Oct 10 · Texas A&M at 39¢
miss
Iowa vs. Washington
CFB · Oct 10 · Iowa at 42¢
hit
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB · Sep 30 · Atlanta Braves at 49¢
miss
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
MLB · Sep 29 · Houston Astros at 54¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
11
Avg hold
21 hours
Active span
Jun 23 – Oct 11, 2026
Trades per month
51
Jun
299
Jul
355
Aug
273
Sep
22
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-05?8 fills
  2. Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?7 fills
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves6 fills
  4. Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?6 fills
  5. Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.3%
994 trades
Crypto
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.