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Vilgefortz

0x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 315 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$7
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +2.1%, realistic +1.4%.
86/100
CopyGrade Score
Strong copy candidate
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Vilgefortz worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Clean risk check, strong copy candidate band, and a real +1.4% post-fee edge — a candidate worth copying (size it to your own risk).

This wallet scores 86/100 — strong copy candidate. Over the trailing 90 days it made 315 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +1.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,766 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 17 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 31 daysCaution · 12 daysPositive · 6 daysCaution · 1 dayPositive · 6 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
98
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
68
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
74
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+2.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+1.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.7 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
217
Avg hold
30.1 days
Active span
Apr 3 – Oct 10, 2026
Trades per month
250
Apr
270
May
130
Jun
101
Jul
25
Aug
205
Sep
19
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?107 fills
  2. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?94 fills
  3. Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?65 fills
  4. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?55 fills
  5. Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?48 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Economy
+1.3%
409 trades
World
+1.3%
301 trades
Politics
+1.2%
237 trades
Sports
-3.4%
53 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.