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Wordy-Littleneck

0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabafEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #40 · 30d volumePrimarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 4.5k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$121
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -15.6%, realistic -24.2%.
63/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Wordy-Littleneck worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 63/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 4.5k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -24.2% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,774 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 80 daysCaution · 11 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
98
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
14
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
56
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
79
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-15.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-24.2%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−8.6 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

2–6 on game moneylines

8 settled calls on NFL, CFB and MLB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
4.0 of 8
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Minnesota vs. Purdue
CFB · Oct 11 · Minnesota at 57¢
miss
North Dakota State vs. UNLV
CFB · Oct 10 · UNLV at 45¢
hit
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
MLB · Oct 7 · Cleveland Guardians at 48¢
hit
Jaguars vs. Bengals
NFL · Oct 4 · Bengals at 57¢
miss
Penn State vs. Northwestern
CFB · Oct 3 · Penn State at 57¢
miss
Jets vs. Lions
NFL · Sep 27 · Jets at 27¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 4,489 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
95
Avg hold
3.5 hours
Active span
Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026
Trades per month
779
Jul
2359
Aug
1152
Sep
199
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)39 fills
  2. Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.534 fills
  3. Rams vs. Chargers31 fills
  4. Athletics vs. Houston Astros29 fills
  5. France vs. Spain: O/U 2.528 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+3.9%
4489 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.