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CNP

0x425ffd6d48d838b89694a6e0c3abded5086ef2afEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 13 days ago · 16 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$187
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -31.1%, realistic -37.3%.
52/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is CNP worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: only 16 trades in the last 90 days — too thin a record to commit to.

This wallet scores 52/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 16 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -37.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,966 graded wallets, as of October 3, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 3, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 20 – Oct 3, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 14 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
70
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
26
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
22
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-31.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-37.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−6.2 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 56 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
10
Avg hold
3.3 days
Active span
Nov 5 – Sep 20, 2026
Trades per month
0
Oct
18
Nov
0
Dec
0
Jan
0
Feb
3
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
9
Jun
0
Jul
0
Aug
16
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?3 fills
  2. Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?2 fills
  3. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?2 fills
  4. Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?2 fills
  5. Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?2 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
+18.0%
23 trades
Sports
-0.7%
21 trades
Crypto
-7.6%
5 trades
Economy
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.