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Home/Copy Verdict

ncbxds

0x43d2d785a23149d90d7fa5ed95b2794c15c81ae6Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Tech
36/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is ncbxds worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 36/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 32 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -80.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 6 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 21 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
22
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
1
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
55
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-59.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-80.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−21.1 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 199 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
40
Avg hold
4.4 hours
Active span
Nov 30 – Aug 6, 2026
Trades per month
1
Sep
2
Oct
8
Nov
6
Dec
9
Jan
7
Feb
24
Mar
9
Apr
18
May
16
Jun
10
Jul
6
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?7 fills
  2. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6 fills
  3. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?5 fills
  4. Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3 fills
  5. Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-0.3%
87 trades
Culture
-0.3%
22 trades
World
-0.1%
20 trades
Crypto
-0.4%
15 trades
Economy
0.0%
9 trades
Tech
0.0%
5 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.