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SebastianAde1996

0x4b4071d1456249cd8d7272d533a3efe191aa2f6aEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 384 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$375
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -48.6%, realistic -74.9%.
44/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is SebastianAde1996 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 44/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 384 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -74.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 14,128 graded wallets, as of October 25, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 25, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 3 – Oct 25, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 84 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
30
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
10
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-48.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-74.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−26.3 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 434 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
—
Active span
Apr 28 – Oct 24, 2026
Trades per month
4
Apr
31
May
2
Jun
31
Jul
227
Aug
53
Sep
86
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?18 fills
  2. Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-26?11 fills
  3. Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?8 fills
  4. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Blackburn Rovers FC O/U 3.5 Corners8 fills
  5. Halmstads BK vs. GAIS: O/U 10.5 Total Corners7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
434 trades
Know when it moves

Watch & alerts

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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.