CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

knrad

0x4d0121458bb2f96c6440c0f3835d675ad3ce1645Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 2 days ago · 164 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$6
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +1.5%, realistic +1.1%.
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is knrad worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 164 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +1.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,884 graded wallets, as of October 22, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 22, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Oct 21 – Oct 22, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 2 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
95
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
53
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
65
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+1.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+1.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.4 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
135
Avg hold
15.0 days
Active span
Dec 14 – Oct 20, 2026
Trades per month
48
Dec
157
Jan
147
Feb
127
Mar
85
Apr
112
May
79
Jun
95
Jul
24
Aug
49
Sep
77
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?16 fills
  2. Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?16 fills
  3. Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?16 fills
  4. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?15 fills
  5. Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?12 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
0.0%
711 trades
World
+7.6%
165 trades
Culture
-0.2%
63 trades
Economy
-0.1%
51 trades
Tech
+0.5%
5 trades
Sports
-1.7%
5 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

CheffromHell
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
dasboot83
Strong copy candidate
94
PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
rtmluck
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.