CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

aaaa298

0x4ebc2722adc772bde8680792d0a6fdf15499a33dEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
264 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 10.0k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$103
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -11.7%, realistic -20.5%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
High farming risk
264 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is aaaa298 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 10.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -20.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 264 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 10 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 23 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
98
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
22
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
48
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
93
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-11.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-20.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−8.8 pts
Forensic check

264 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
264 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 10,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
250
Avg hold
under an hour
Active span
Sep 19 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
9290
Sep
710
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs102 fills
  2. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs93 fills
  3. Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs91 fills
  4. Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner91 fills
  5. Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs86 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+11.7%
10000 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
dasboot83
Strong copy candidate
94
PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
rtmluck
Strong copy candidate
93
Rosypal
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.