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Michelle5000

0x4f48227444fd362573d768cdc2d3fccb15f6d6ebEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
48/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Michelle5000 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 48/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 23 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -0.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 11 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 16 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
32
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
6
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
39
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-0.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-0.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 89 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
32
Avg hold
14.3 days
Active span
Feb 18 – Aug 14, 2026
Trades per month
2
Sep
3
Oct
5
Nov
2
Dec
3
Jan
4
Feb
8
Mar
12
Apr
18
May
7
Jun
9
Jul
4
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?3 fills
  2. Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?2 fills
  3. Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 fills
  4. Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?2 fills
  5. Will Anna Kalinskaya be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?2 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.2%
41 trades
Politics
-0.1%
22 trades
Culture
-0.1%
12 trades
Tech
0.0%
5 trades
Economy
0.0%
4 trades
World
-0.1%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.