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202602

0x4fd4342253c8be62eb59de30d860a0fa40e628afEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
71/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy candidate
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is 202602 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Clean, with a real +10.0% edge, but the overall score stops short of the top band — worth a reduced allocation, not a full commitment.

This wallet scores 71/100 — copy candidate. Over the trailing 90 days it made 40 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +10.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 5 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 23 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
82
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
44
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
67
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
75
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+14.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+10.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−4.2 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 83 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
32
Avg hold
9.0 hours
Active span
Jan 31 – Aug 6, 2026
Trades per month
2
Jan
4
Feb
37
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
0
Jun
0
Jul
40
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?16 fills
  2. Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?8 fills
  3. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?8 fills
  4. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?7 fills
  5. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
+30.1%
62 trades
Politics
+1.3%
14 trades
Economy
-8.8%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.