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nicolaspayet

0x511ddb95c968c4d14c53c75aa07e0bbae75bcd55Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: flagged
1 signal our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: no
Last trade 33 days ago · 2.9k trades in the last 90 days. A record this stale is history, not a live edge.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$18
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -2.0%, realistic -3.5%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is nicolaspayet worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 2.9k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -3.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 1 farming signal.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,774 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 11 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 62 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
11
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
91
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
41
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-2.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-3.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.5 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 2,854 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
96
Avg hold
12 hours
Active span
Aug 3 – Sep 7, 2026
Trades per month
2737
Aug
117
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?467 fills
  2. Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?464 fills
  3. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?244 fills
  4. Trump out as President by August 31?198 fills
  5. Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?124 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Economy
-3.6%
1180 trades
Politics
-1.0%
688 trades
Crypto
-0.6%
371 trades
Sports
-5.3%
323 trades
World
0.0%
268 trades
Culture
-0.2%
23 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.