CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

HomeRunHazard

0x5268527977f700f9bf9b6d5cd843859e4e70135dEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #5 · 7d profitPrimarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
76 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 10.0k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -69.3%, realistic -100.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
76 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is HomeRunHazard worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 10.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 76 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,824 graded wallets, as of October 12, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 12, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 14 – Oct 12, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
30
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-69.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−30.7 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

14–17 on game moneylines

31 settled calls on NFL, MLB and CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
17.6 of 31
Current streak
2 hits

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Bengals vs. Dolphins
NFL · Oct 11 · Dolphins at 25¢
miss
Texans vs. Titans
NFL · Oct 11 · Texans at 76¢
hit
Bears vs. Packers
NFL · Oct 11 · Packers at 45¢
hit
Boise State vs. Fresno State
CFB · Oct 11 · Boise State at 69¢
hit
James Madison vs. Georgia Southern
CFB · Oct 10 · James Madison at 73¢
hit
Syracuse vs. Virginia
CFB · Oct 10 · Syracuse at 19¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

76 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
76 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 10,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
—
Active span
Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Timberwolves vs. Pacers138 fills
  2. Hawks vs. Pacers113 fills
  3. Pistons vs. Wizards103 fills
  4. Grizzlies vs. Bulls102 fills
  5. Spurs vs. Suns99 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
10000 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.