CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

pup1

0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
5 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade yesterday · 883 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$15
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -1.7%, realistic -3.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
High farming risk
5 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is pup1 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 883 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -3.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 5 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 11 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 22 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
54
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
14
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
91
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
52
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-1.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-3.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.3 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

0–1 on game moneylines

1 settled call on NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — under 5, too few to read as a record. Calls are pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
0.2 of 1
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Chiefs vs. Dolphins
NFL · Sep 27 · Dolphins at 16¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

5 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
5 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
251
Avg hold
46 hours
Active span
Jun 29 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
25
Jun
565
Jul
192
Aug
217
Sep
1
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?65 fills
  2. Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?40 fills
  3. Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?35 fills
  4. Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga AND Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet AND Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina AND Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli AND Croatia Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar AND Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi24 fills
  5. US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31?19 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.5%
667 trades
Politics
-2.8%
112 trades
World
+0.1%
107 trades
Economy
-8.6%
83 trades
Crypto
-0.8%
9 trades
Tech
-4.7%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
dasboot83
Strong copy candidate
94
PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
rtmluck
Strong copy candidate
93
Rosypal
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.