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0x5aed…3f8e

0x5aed52743612c14e0aafe91c6450274f43a83f8eEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
71/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy candidate
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is 0x5aed…3f8e worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Clean, with a real +7.7% edge, but the overall score stops short of the top band — worth a reduced allocation, not a full commitment.

This wallet scores 71/100 — copy candidate. Over the trailing 90 days it made 20 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +7.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,677 graded wallets, as of August 30, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 30, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 12 – Aug 30, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 19 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
68
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
40
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
91
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
74
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+9.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+7.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase1.9 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 43 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
16
Avg hold
5.1 days
Active span
Feb 25 – Aug 30, 2026
Trades per month
16
Feb
6
Mar
1
Apr
0
May
2
Jun
8
Jul
10
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?5 fills
  2. Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?4 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3PM ET3 fills
  4. Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?3 fills
  5. US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31?3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
+1.8%
17 trades
Crypto
-18.7%
16 trades
Economy
+40.3%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.