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capitalpiston2

0x5e020e19bc4cc2cd24ab9b406604ee9df02ab178Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Tech
Farming risk: flagged
18 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 167 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -92.4%, realistic -100.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
18 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is capitalpiston2 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 167 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 18 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,862 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 11 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 22 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
95
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
16
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
58
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-92.4%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−7.6 pts
Forensic check

18 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
18 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
20
Avg hold
26 hours
Active span
May 26 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
773
May
60
Jun
63
Jul
7
Aug
94
Sep
3
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik34 fills
  2. Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula23 fills
  3. Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame22 fills
  4. Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov20 fills
  5. Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien18 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.2%
952 trades
Tech
+23.7%
32 trades
Economy
0.0%
8 trades
Politics
-2.3%
5 trades
World
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.