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Home/Copy Verdict

betwinORlose

0x60b85d30f193aff0f017c5e905c560f91554945fEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is betwinORlose worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 64 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -12.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 1 farming signal.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 14 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 13 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
15
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
77
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
59
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-9.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-12.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase3.7 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 555 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
129
Avg hold
18.7 days
Active span
Jun 20 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
235
Sep
71
Oct
27
Nov
30
Dec
25
Jan
39
Feb
15
Mar
23
Apr
4
May
3
Jun
17
Jul
44
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?29 fills
  2. Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?8 fills
  3. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?6 fills
  4. Will Base launch a token in 2025?5 fills
  5. Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-32.9%
201 trades
Politics
-5.4%
171 trades
Economy
+33.8%
46 trades
World
-2.0%
36 trades
Culture
+11.7%
33 trades
Sports
-6.8%
28 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.