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firstbrshot

0x639e2730f6e8d9efce3278b3e44a9a54da39dec7Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
6 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is firstbrshot worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 33 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +2.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 6 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 4 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 1 dayNegative · 73 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
98
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
66
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
91
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
74
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+3.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+2.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase1.4 pts
Forensic check

6 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
6 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 566 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
52
Avg hold
8.4 days
Active span
Apr 14 – Jul 6, 2026
Trades per month
427
Apr
107
May
30
Jun
2
Jul
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?14 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET13 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET10 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET9 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+3.7%
500 trades
Economy
+14.7%
27 trades
Tech
-2.0%
13 trades
World
+27.1%
11 trades
Sports
+3.7%
6 trades
Science
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.