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Dull-Dogwood

0x6418c5ac5e70c42faa142a2e7506f202c563730cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Culture
50/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Dull-Dogwood worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-29.10%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 50/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.4k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -29.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 8 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 1 dayNegative · 20 daysCaution · 5 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 4 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 3 daysCaution · 18 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 2 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 11 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
12
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
56
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
59
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-18.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-29.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−10.3 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,442 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
709
Avg hold
20 hours
Active span
May 29 – Aug 27, 2026
Trades per month
15
May
502
Jun
725
Jul
200
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?36 fills
  2. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?34 fills
  3. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?27 fills
  4. Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?25 fills
  5. Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?21 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-10.5%
649 trades
Politics
-11.7%
266 trades
Economy
-9.3%
133 trades
Tech
-24.3%
45 trades
Culture
-5.2%
10 trades
Sports
-30.9%
10 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.