CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

3648393489047

0x67ac9e1ad7d7e74ef0215d14fc8edb538e4fedf1Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
10 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 3.8k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$25
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -2.8%, realistic -4.9%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
10 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is 3648393489047 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 3.8k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -4.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 10 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,820 graded wallets, as of October 12, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 12, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 22 – Oct 12, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 52 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
64
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
17
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
90
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
58
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-2.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-4.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−2.1 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

1–2 on game moneylines

3 settled calls on NFL and CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — under 5, too few to read as a record. Calls are pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
2.0 of 3
Current streak
1 hit

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Chiefs vs. Raiders
NFL · Oct 4 · Chiefs at 68¢
hit
Florida vs. Missouri
CFB · Oct 3 · Florida at 67¢
miss
Eagles vs. Bears
NFL · Sep 29 · Eagles at 64¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

10 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
10 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 3,805 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
290
Avg hold
12 hours
Active span
Jul 14 – Oct 12, 2026
Trades per month
386
Jul
733
Aug
2024
Sep
662
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?38 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET35 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET28 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET28 fills
  5. Spurs vs. Suns25 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.1%
3340 trades
Politics
-10.1%
157 trades
Crypto
-0.3%
125 trades
World
-2.2%
117 trades
Culture
-1.4%
41 trades
Tech
-4.0%
23 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.