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Belgaron

0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
57/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Belgaron worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 57/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 903 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +1.2% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 8 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 13 daysCaution · 6 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
48
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
46
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
46
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+2.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+1.2%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.4 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
9
Avg hold
5.4 days
Active span
May 19 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
127
May
123
Jun
305
Jul
445
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?51 fills
  2. Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?28 fills
  3. US strike on Colombia by December 31?18 fills
  4. Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?18 fills
  5. Will Iran Play in the World Cup?16 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
+0.1%
336 trades
World
0.0%
118 trades
Crypto
0.0%
85 trades
Economy
-0.3%
83 trades
Culture
0.0%
14 trades
Tech
0.0%
11 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.