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Home/Copy Verdict

vincent9111

0x7144f8fa344af262f86b058ba164029c6e946624Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
42/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is vincent9111 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 42/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 118 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -45.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 15 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 12 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
2
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
22
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
62
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-37.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-45.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−8.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 262 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
61
Avg hold
23.7 days
Active span
Jan 19 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
8
Jan
8
Feb
22
Mar
14
Apr
109
May
36
Jun
18
Jul
47
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?39 fills
  2. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?34 fills
  3. Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?20 fills
  4. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?18 fills
  5. Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?15 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
-20.7%
143 trades
Economy
-71.2%
73 trades
Politics
-19.1%
46 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.