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tony1919

0x733b2ffa4ebfd125ee71e8b673bd08273abd7260Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 39 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$17
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +5.0%, realistic +3.3%.
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is tony1919 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 39 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +3.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,854 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 6 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
99
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
38
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
80
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
92
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+5.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+3.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.7 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 246 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
74
Avg hold
5.6 hours
Active span
Jul 19 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
7
Nov
25
Dec
2
Jan
0
Feb
3
Mar
55
Apr
23
May
6
Jun
4
Jul
25
Aug
9
Sep
1
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)17 fills
  2. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A8 fills
  3. Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner8 fills
  4. Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Team6 fills
  5. Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gaming5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+12.9%
236 trades
Crypto
-24.5%
10 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.