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Worse-Scenario

0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5fEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 4 days ago · 473 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -94.0%, realistic -100.0%.
38/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Worse-Scenario worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 38/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 473 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,642 graded wallets, as of October 10, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 10, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Oct 5 – Oct 10, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 6 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
18
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
42
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-94.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−6.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 719 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
9
Avg hold
232.4 days
Active span
Jan 26 – Oct 5, 2026
Trades per month
19
Jan
138
Feb
89
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
0
Jun
0
Jul
0
Aug
0
Sep
473
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?5 fills
  2. Will Ashley Carpenter get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?5 fills
  3. Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?5 fills
  4. Will Pee-wee as Himself win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?4 fills
  5. Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?4 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-7.0%
349 trades
Sports
-0.3%
112 trades
Culture
-5.5%
112 trades
World
0.0%
69 trades
Tech
-46.9%
34 trades
Economy
-13.4%
24 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.