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Able-Kielbasa

0x77266604e63f5caf08d19caebae0c563ce064aeeEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 3 days ago · 121 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$5
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -0.8%, realistic -1.0%.
62/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Able-Kielbasa worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 62/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 121 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -1.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,296 graded wallets, as of October 6, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 6, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Oct 2 – Oct 6, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 5 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
70
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
22
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
92
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
70
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-0.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-1.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.2 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 355 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
43
Avg hold
4.0 days
Active span
Feb 18 – Oct 3, 2026
Trades per month
56
Feb
63
Mar
25
Apr
49
May
39
Jun
13
Jul
86
Aug
18
Sep
6
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?16 fills
  2. Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?8 fills
  3. Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?7 fills
  4. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?6 fills
  5. Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Science
+1.8%
170 trades
Politics
-1.6%
95 trades
World
+3.6%
63 trades
Economy
+2.6%
14 trades
Tech
0.0%
10 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.