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unknowngambler

0x7b1036b62136cad4ac4b86668c3dcb9e84e2acabEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 459 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$83
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -11.6%, realistic -16.5%.
63/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is unknowngambler worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 63/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 459 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -16.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 21 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 12 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
96
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
18
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
72
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
59
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-11.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-16.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−4.9 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

3–0 on game moneylines

3 settled calls on CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — under 5, too few to read as a record. Calls are pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
1.5 of 3
Current streak
3 hits

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

East Texas A&M vs. McNeese
CFB · Sep 26 · McNeese at 58¢
hit
West Virginia vs. Virginia
CFB · Sep 19 · West Virginia at 21¢
hit
North Carolina Central vs. Gardner-Webb
CFB · Sep 19 · Gardner-Webb at 70¢
hit

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
25
Avg hold
37 hours
Active span
May 3 – Oct 2, 2026
Trades per month
164
May
308
Jun
219
Jul
169
Aug
138
Sep
2
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. O/U 1.5 Rounds10 fills
  2. Spurs vs. Knicks10 fills
  3. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates9 fills
  4. Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners8 fills
  5. Knicks vs. Spurs7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.3%
1000 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.