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ragutwo

0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Tech
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 1.3k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$233
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -30.0%, realistic -46.5%.
50/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is ragutwo worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 50/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.3k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -46.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,856 graded wallets, as of October 22, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 22, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 29 – Oct 22, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 19 daysCaution · 3 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
76
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
17
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
32
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
61
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-30.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-46.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−16.5 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,325 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
268
Avg hold
4.4 days
Active span
Jul 24 – Oct 22, 2026
Trades per month
176
Jul
513
Aug
401
Sep
235
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?33 fills
  2. Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?30 fills
  3. Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?30 fills
  4. Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?28 fills
  5. Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?27 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Economy
+2.1%
602 trades
World
+2.4%
305 trades
Politics
+2.2%
234 trades
Sports
-1.2%
118 trades
Tech
+17.2%
22 trades
Crypto
0.0%
8 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.