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Home/Copy Verdict

0x7e40…3525

0x7e40416127a1b2f227ea25959b61a318b7e63525Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
54/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is 0x7e40…3525 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-11.80%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 54/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 459 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -11.8% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 7 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 1 dayCaution · 17 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 2 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
48
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
8
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
73
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
70
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-8.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-11.8%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−3.3 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 459 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
132
Avg hold
7.8 days
Active span
Jul 6 – Aug 15, 2026
Trades per month
234
Jul
225
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?32 fills
  2. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?27 fills
  3. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?24 fills
  4. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?22 fills
  5. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?17 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
-8.1%
316 trades
Politics
+4.1%
84 trades
Economy
-44.4%
57 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.