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Home/Copy Verdict

StasPanda

0x7e5e420a5cde8a322f3b5b93a12a164827f47315Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 1.3k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$245
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -31.6%, realistic -49.0%.
42/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is StasPanda worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 42/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.3k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -49.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,850 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 1 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 15 daysNegative · 4 daysCaution · 5 daysNegative · 39 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
13
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
33
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
38
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-31.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-49.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−17.4 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,284 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
26
Avg hold
14 hours
Active span
Jul 4 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
662
Jul
452
Aug
168
Sep
2
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs AND San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners AND Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies AND Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros AND Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels255 fills
  2. BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5 AND Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5 AND Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5 AND Stabaek IF vs. Hoedd IL: O/U 3.5 AND Osters IF vs. Varbergs BoIS: O/U 3.532 fills
  3. Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 AND Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.532 fills
  4. Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 AND Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.532 fills
  5. Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees AND Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs AND San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves AND San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals AND Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies AND Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels10 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.2%
1281 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.