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Trumppicker

0x80324cd0c823e018bf427c7365724656f1057c6cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Culture
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 105 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$19
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +5.0%, realistic +3.8%.
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Trumppicker worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 105 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +3.8% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,635 graded wallets, as of October 20, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 20, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Oct 15 – Oct 20, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 6 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
90
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
38
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
78
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
64
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+5.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+3.8%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.2 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
361
Avg hold
35 hours
Active span
Jan 21 – Oct 20, 2026
Trades per month
53
Jan
280
Feb
258
Mar
192
Apr
56
May
40
Jun
25
Jul
9
Aug
5
Sep
82
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?14 fills
  2. Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?10 fills
  3. Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?9 fills
  4. Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?9 fills
  5. Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Culture
+22.8%
694 trades
Politics
-4.2%
208 trades
World
+15.8%
75 trades
Sports
+20.9%
13 trades
Economy
-29.4%
10 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.