CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

Phony-Constraint

0x80da4646b3eff29cdd01ad0c265c79d54f7d9bc6Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Science
56/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Phony-Constraint worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 56/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 574 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -27.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 9 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 19 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
85
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
20
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
46
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
62
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-19.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-27.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−8.4 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
276
Avg hold
15.6 days
Active span
Apr 23 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
70
Apr
356
May
162
Jun
212
Jul
200
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.56 fills
  2. Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.54 fills
  3. Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage4 fills
  4. Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch4 fills
  5. Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.54 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+5.6%
711 trades
Science
+25.9%
189 trades
Culture
-2.1%
27 trades
Crypto
+4.2%
19 trades
World
+1.9%
8 trades
Economy
-4.3%
8 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
95
Glaring-Farrow
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
PlyQuants
Strong copy candidate
93
Ringed-Laparoscope
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.