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Hairy-Bicycle

0x81bba3276a11281b27adc2881013a4e3cf0d3049Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
38/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Hairy-Bicycle worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 38/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 90 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -62.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,505 graded wallets, as of August 29, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 28, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 9 – Aug 29, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 52 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
22
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
7
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
62
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-52.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-62.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−10.4 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 178 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
9
Avg hold
29.6 days
Active span
Jan 31 – Jul 15, 2026
Trades per month
13
Jan
1
Feb
0
Mar
0
Apr
74
May
65
Jun
25
Jul
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)18 fills
  2. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?5 fills
  3. Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?4 fills
  4. Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?4 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.2%
95 trades
Crypto
-13.4%
33 trades
World
+1.0%
18 trades
Politics
-2.2%
18 trades
Economy
0.0%
14 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.