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mronebillion

0x8404bab8e71914ddef3f63827c3a5460d544ea03Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Science
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
3 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is mronebillion worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 8.7k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -5.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 3 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, May 31 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 13 daysPositive · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 3 daysCaution · 5 daysNegative · 51 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
94
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
25
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
84
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
68
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-2.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-5.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−2.2 pts
Forensic check

3 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
3 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 8,682 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
630
Avg hold
2.8 days
Active span
May 29 – Aug 20, 2026
Trades per month
276
May
3758
Jun
3582
Jul
1066
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Games Total: O/U 2.554 fills
  2. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?25 fills
  3. US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?17 fills
  4. Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers16 fills
  5. Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)16 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+3.3%
8073 trades
Politics
+1.7%
187 trades
Economy
-1.9%
129 trades
Crypto
+1.9%
91 trades
Science
+7.5%
67 trades
Culture
0.0%
6 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.