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retroactivesource

0x85d53efdd055aa88fb00a914f5615bfd585545eeEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 18 days ago · 617 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$227
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -29.2%, realistic -45.3%.
47/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is retroactivesource worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 47/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 617 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -45.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,842 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 27 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 68 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
70
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
13
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
36
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
53
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-29.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-45.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−16.1 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
89
Avg hold
3.6 hours
Active span
May 12 – Sep 13, 2026
Trades per month
169
May
191
Jun
337
Jul
273
Aug
30
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage13 fills
  2. LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend11 fills
  3. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage9 fills
  4. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group9 fills
  5. LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.7%
999 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.